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Red145
5828.9
568754.1
632968.5
Blue142
346762.9
13135.8
264829.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16013150100200250145142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.50.1
68.268.1
Auto16.7
Teleop40.3
End8.8
red by 5.5
62.90.3
62.562.8
Auto15.6
Teleop36.4
End8.7
Second
54.10.1
53.953.8
Auto14.5
Teleop31.7
End6.1
red by 18.4
131
#2
35.80.3
35.435.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.5
End7.1
Third
58
#30
28.90.1
28.628.5
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End6.1
blue by 0.9
2648
#29
29.80.3
29.429.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.0
End6.2