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Red106
463557.3
347857.4
478211.2
Blue91
710226.5
742139.1
921319.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10458015020010691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.40.5
57.857.4
Auto9.8
Teleop46.6
End1.0
red by 18.2
39.10.1
39.039.1
Auto4.8
Teleop33.6
End0.7
Second
57.30.5
57.857.3
Auto10.3
Teleop45.3
End0.9
red by 30.8
26.50.1
26.426.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.2
Third
4782
#25
11.20.5
11.711.2
Auto0.8
Teleop10.3
End0.3
blue by 8.4
9213
#26
19.60.1
19.419.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.6
End0.6