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Red45
478211.2
670223.9
513313.7
Blue70
463557.3
34805.6
571613.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32610501001502002504570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.4
19.218.8
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End-0.3
blue by 33.4
57.30.5
49.348.8
Auto10.3
Teleop45.3
End0.9
Second
5133
#11
13.70.4
11.010.6
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End-0.7
red by 0.5
5716
#24
13.20.5
9.28.7
Auto2.7
Teleop10.9
End-0.4
Third
4782
#25
11.20.4
10.610.2
Auto0.8
Teleop10.3
End0.3
red by 5.6
3480
#34
5.60.9
4.63.7
Auto0.2
Teleop6.8
End-1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsMissed22%Activation oddsEarned