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Red133
754628.2
347857.4
670223.9
Blue57
473110.6
742139.1
928214.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8148020406010012014016013357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.42.0
52.154.0
Auto9.8
Teleop46.6
End1.0
red by 18.2
39.10.6
38.337.7
Auto4.8
Teleop33.6
End0.7
Second
28.22.0
20.122.0
Auto4.9
Teleop22.9
End0.4
red by 14.0
9282
#15
14.20.6
14.213.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End0.5
Third
23.92.0
16.418.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End-0.3
red by 13.3
4731
#27
10.60.6
8.17.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed