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Red39
401026.9
77257.9
393321.4
Blue56
315818.5
670223.9
473511.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633901001502002503003956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#28
26.91.9
38.436.5
Auto5.9
Teleop18.9
End2.2
red by 3.0
23.90.3
18.418.7
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End-0.3
Second
3933
#14
21.41.9
17.115.2
Auto6.5
Teleop14.8
End0.2
red by 2.9
18.50.3
20.120.4
Auto3.5
Teleop14.6
End0.5
Third
7725
#29
7.91.9
11.910.0
Auto1.6
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
blue by 3.8
4735
#19
11.70.3
13.313.6
Auto0.8
Teleop10.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsMissed20%Activation oddsMissed