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Red46
595920.5
588713.9
594811.1
Blue35
315818.5
352618.2
513313.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384502060801004635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5959
#10
20.51.3
20.919.6
Auto3.4
Teleop16.3
End0.6
red by 2.0
18.51.5
20.418.9
Auto3.5
Teleop14.6
End0.5
Second
5887
#18
13.91.3
14.713.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End0.1
blue by 4.3
3526
#30
18.21.5
18.617.0
Auto2.5
Teleop16.3
End-0.5
Third
5948
#21
11.11.3
12.211.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End-0.4
blue by 2.6
5133
#11
13.71.5
14.112.6
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
9%Activation oddsMissed12%Activation oddsMissed