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Red8
440318.0
571613.2
61069.6
Blue43
477517.4
352712.8
315818.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717120406080100843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4403
#31
18.03.9
31.928.0
Auto2.8
Teleop15.0
End0.2
blue by 0.5
18.51.6
22.621.0
Auto3.5
Teleop14.6
End0.5
Second
5716
#24
13.24.3
18.313.9
Auto2.7
Teleop10.9
End-0.4
blue by 4.2
4775
#16
17.41.6
28.426.9
Auto2.7
Teleop14.1
End0.6
Third
6106
#22
9.63.9
16.412.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End-0.0
blue by 3.2
3527
#20
12.81.6
15.413.8
Auto1.9
Teleop11.7
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
5%Activation oddsMissed12%Activation oddsMissed