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Red67
347219.3
352618.2
928214.2
Blue102
928027.2
601725.5
670223.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336205010015067102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3472
#12
19.31.1
16.617.7
Auto3.8
Teleop15.5
End-0.1
blue by 8.0
27.20.8
26.427.1
Auto4.2
Teleop21.9
End1.2
Second
3526
#30
18.21.1
17.018.1
Auto2.5
Teleop16.3
End-0.5
blue by 7.3
25.50.8
24.425.1
Auto3.3
Teleop20.8
End1.4
Third
9282
#15
14.21.1
12.113.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End0.5
blue by 9.7
23.90.8
19.920.7
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
5%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsEarned