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Red68
588713.9
921319.6
571613.2
Blue95
393321.4
754628.2
664722.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34470204060801001206895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9213
#26
19.60.7
18.619.3
Auto4.4
Teleop14.6
End0.6
blue by 8.7
28.21.8
24.826.6
Auto4.9
Teleop22.9
End0.4
Second
5887
#18
13.90.7
13.514.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End0.1
blue by 8.8
6647
#17
22.71.8
21.923.7
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End0.9
Third
5716
#24
13.20.7
10.411.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.9
End-0.4
blue by 8.3
3933
#14
21.41.8
16.318.1
Auto6.5
Teleop14.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
12%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsEarned