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Red39
595920.5
930112.7
352712.8
Blue84
921319.6
478211.2
928027.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4144102030506070803984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5959
#10
20.51.0
21.120.1
Auto3.4
Teleop16.3
End0.6
blue by 6.8
27.21.1
27.128.2
Auto4.2
Teleop21.9
End1.2
Second
3527
#20
12.81.0
14.513.5
Auto1.9
Teleop11.7
End-0.5
blue by 6.8
9213
#26
19.61.1
19.320.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.6
End0.6
Third
9301
#32
12.71.0
12.911.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End0.5
red by 1.5
4782
#25
11.21.1
10.711.8
Auto0.8
Teleop10.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
4%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsEarned