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Red67
315818.5
928027.2
710226.5
Blue64
670223.9
595920.5
570511.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6439020801001201406764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.5
27.326.8
Auto4.2
Teleop21.9
End1.2
red by 3.3
23.90.3
23.423.7
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End-0.3
Second
26.50.5
25.725.2
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.2
red by 6.0
5959
#10
20.50.3
19.920.2
Auto3.4
Teleop16.3
End0.6
Third
18.50.5
21.220.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.6
End0.5
red by 7.2
5705
#33
11.30.3
11.011.3
Auto0.6
Teleop10.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsMissed