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Red42
34805.6
473110.6
601725.5
Blue61
347219.3
571613.2
401026.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245101001502004261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.5
26.826.3
Auto3.3
Teleop20.8
End1.4
blue by 1.4
4010
#28
26.90.1
27.827.9
Auto5.9
Teleop18.9
End2.2
Second
4731
#27
10.60.5
11.110.6
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End0.3
blue by 8.7
3472
#12
19.30.1
18.718.8
Auto3.8
Teleop15.5
End-0.1
Third
3480
#34
5.60.5
6.15.6
Auto0.2
Teleop6.8
End-1.5
blue by 7.6
5716
#24
13.20.1
13.113.2
Auto2.7
Teleop10.9
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed14%Activation oddsMissed