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Red56
401026.9
594811.1
601725.5
Blue18
393321.4
473110.6
315818.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1055001502005618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#28
26.93.6
49.245.5
Auto5.9
Teleop18.9
End2.2
red by 5.4
3933
#14
21.42.5
23.921.4
Auto6.5
Teleop14.8
End0.2
Second
25.53.6
29.826.2
Auto3.3
Teleop20.8
End1.4
red by 7.0
18.52.5
21.018.5
Auto3.5
Teleop14.6
End0.5
Third
5948
#21
11.13.6
15.912.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End-0.4
red by 0.5
4731
#27
10.62.5
10.98.4
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsMissed