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Red31
315818.5
601725.5
473511.7
Blue73
595920.5
670223.9
588713.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46452030405060703173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.6
26.325.7
Auto3.3
Teleop20.8
End1.4
red by 1.6
23.90.1
23.723.8
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End-0.3
Second
18.50.6
19.318.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.6
End0.5
blue by 2.0
5959
#10
20.50.1
20.220.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.3
End0.6
Third
4735
#19
11.70.6
12.511.9
Auto0.8
Teleop10.9
End-0.1
blue by 2.2
5887
#18
13.90.1
13.713.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End0.1