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Qual 122023 Big Bang!
Red121
283247.0
150141.2
50337.2
Blue115
3538B30.4
317546.3
721158.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144143120130140150160121115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#5
47.01.3
44.2→42.9
Auto13.0
Teleop25.1
End8.8
blue by 11.4
7211
#2
58.41.3
53.8→52.5
Auto15.4
Teleop34.5
End7.5
Second
1501
#8
41.21.3
48.1→46.8
Auto11.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
blue by 5.1
3175
#9
46.31.3
55.9→54.6
Auto15.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
Third
503
#6
37.21.3
43.1→41.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.1
End6.8
red by 6.8
3538B
#16
30.42.2
25.9→23.7
Auto3.3
Teleop19.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsMissed92%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned