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Qual 292023 Big Bang!
Red146
86239.4
686125.0
721158.4
Blue64
317546.3
170149.4
360437.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12515205010020025014664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#2
58.40.5
52.0→52.5
Auto15.4
Teleop34.5
End7.5
red by 9.0
1701
#7
49.45.4
48.4→43.0
Auto9.8
Teleop31.8
End7.0
Second
862
#10
39.40.5
42.3→42.8
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End8.7
blue by 6.9
3175
#9
46.35.4
49.5→44.1
Auto15.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
Third
6861
#21
25.00.5
26.9→27.4
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End3.6
blue by 12.8
3604
#15
37.85.4
42.6→37.2
Auto10.2
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
63%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed