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Qual 362023 Big Bang!
Red106
353860.8
50337.2
3538B30.4
Blue114
360437.8
283247.0
86239.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13313080100120140160106114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#1
60.81.2
59.6→58.3
Auto13.5
Teleop37.7
End8.7
red by 13.8
2832
#5
47.00.6
42.4→41.8
Auto13.0
Teleop25.1
End8.8
Second
503
#6
37.21.2
38.8→37.6
Auto10.4
Teleop20.1
End6.8
blue by 2.2
862
#10
39.40.6
42.8→42.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End8.7
Third
3538B
#16
30.41.8
26.3→24.5
Auto3.3
Teleop19.0
End8.3
blue by 7.4
3604
#15
37.80.6
37.2→36.6
Auto10.2
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsMissed49%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned