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Red64
721158.4
150141.2
Blue134
608153.3
918223.2
828024.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149540608014016018064134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.42.7
53.350.6
Auto15.4
Teleop34.5
End7.5
red by 5.1
53.32.2
48.250.4
Auto15.2
Teleop28.7
End9.0
Second
41.22.7
44.641.9
Auto11.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
red by 16.8
8280
#17
24.42.2
21.323.5
Auto8.4
Teleop10.6
End5.7
Third
7.33.0
7.14.1
Auto3.6
Teleop0.5
End3.9
blue by 15.9
9182
#20
23.22.2
21.723.9
Auto7.2
Teleop11.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsEarned