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Qual 62023 Big Bang!
Red52
509023.4
608153.3
686125.0
Blue108
7211B17.7
50337.2
170149.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11512905010015020052108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#3
53.33.9
49.3→45.5
Auto15.2
Teleop28.7
End9.0
red by 3.9
1701
#7
49.40.8
53.7→53.0
Auto9.8
Teleop31.8
End7.0
Second
6861
#21
25.03.9
29.5→25.6
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End3.6
blue by 12.2
503
#6
37.20.8
43.8→43.1
Auto10.4
Teleop20.1
End6.8
Third
5090
#14
23.43.9
31.1→27.2
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End4.5
red by 5.7
7211B
#23
17.71.3
22.1→20.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsMissed61%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed79%Activation oddsMissed