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Red111
608153.3
86239.4
3604B20.9
Blue80
170149.4
6081B17.2
686125.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11410005015020011180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.4
45.545.9
Auto15.2
Teleop28.7
End9.0
red by 3.9
49.41.3
53.051.6
Auto9.8
Teleop31.8
End7.0
Second
862
#10
39.40.4
46.847.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End8.7
red by 14.4
6861
#21
25.01.3
25.624.3
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End3.6
Third
20.90.7
12.713.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End6.8
red by 3.7
17.22.2
16.514.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsMissed59%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsMissed