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Red144
3362.7
353860.8
Blue120
360437.8
828024.4
3538B30.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1379150100150200144120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
62.70.5
60.260.7
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End8.3
red by 24.9
3604
#15
37.80.6
37.337.9
Auto10.2
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Second
60.80.5
58.358.8
Auto13.5
Teleop37.7
End8.7
red by 30.4
30.40.6
29.930.6
Auto3.3
Teleop19.0
End8.3
Third
7.30.5
4.85.3
Auto3.6
Teleop0.5
End3.9
blue by 17.1
8280
#17
24.40.6
23.924.5
Auto8.4
Teleop10.6
End5.7