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Red133
918218.0
436257.2
366852.8
Blue102
653819.9
360436.8
505045.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14110650150200133102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.1
57.357.4
Auto17.2
Teleop32.3
End7.6
red by 11.9
45.30.2
45.945.8
Auto14.0
Teleop23.9
End7.2
Second
52.80.1
52.852.9
Auto14.7
Teleop31.5
End6.5
red by 16.0
36.80.2
37.437.2
Auto10.9
Teleop17.5
End8.4
Third
9182
#37
18.00.1
18.118.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End5.6
blue by 1.9
6538
#27
19.90.2
20.520.4
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End3.5