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Red80
722026.0
6632.2
440539.9
Blue124
102346.4
652821.6
436257.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66103020408012014016080124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#17
39.91.5
26.027.5
Auto8.7
Teleop21.9
End9.4
blue by 17.4
57.21.8
46.548.3
Auto17.2
Teleop32.3
End7.6
Second
66
#7
32.20.9
21.622.5
Auto11.4
Teleop10.8
End10.0
blue by 14.2
46.41.8
36.638.4
Auto13.3
Teleop23.9
End9.2
Third
7220
#19
26.01.5
18.720.2
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End6.1
red by 4.4
6528
#12
21.61.8
9.110.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsMissed