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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7839020601001203574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.62.2
31.629.4
Auto10.7
Teleop17.3
End8.7
red by 4.4
66
#7
32.22.2
22.524.7
Auto11.4
Teleop10.8
End10.0
Second
8179
#23
28.53.6
19.716.0
Auto10.6
Teleop13.5
End4.4
red by 6.9
6528
#12
21.62.2
10.913.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.6
End3.7
Third
9226
#32
23.03.6
16.612.9
Auto7.2
Teleop10.6
End5.2
red by 12.7
1528
#30
10.32.2
7.79.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsEarned