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Red65
836218.8
9420.1
366852.8
Blue54
812418.3
102346.4
661517.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71800501001506554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.2
42.041.9
Auto14.7
Teleop31.5
End6.5
red by 6.3
46.41.6
37.435.7
Auto13.3
Teleop23.9
End9.2
Second
94
#21
20.10.2
15.014.8
Auto2.4
Teleop10.1
End7.6
red by 1.8
8124
#34
18.32.7
20.317.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.5
End5.1
Third
8362
#18
18.80.3
10.410.1
Auto2.7
Teleop11.6
End4.6
red by 1.0
6615
#39
17.82.7
15.913.2
Auto8.3
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsMissed