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Red120
514432.3
360436.8
366852.8
Blue75
366727.9
440539.9
922623.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996720408012014016012075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.82.1
41.943.9
Auto14.7
Teleop31.5
End6.5
red by 12.9
4405
#17
39.90.4
26.927.2
Auto8.7
Teleop21.9
End9.4
Second
36.82.1
22.624.7
Auto10.9
Teleop17.5
End8.4
red by 8.9
3667
#31
27.90.2
26.827.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.6
End4.8
Third
5144
#14
32.32.1
24.326.4
Auto9.9
Teleop16.3
End6.1
red by 9.3
9226
#32
23.00.4
12.913.3
Auto7.2
Teleop10.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed