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Red110
514432.3
817928.5
3347.7
Blue103
6632.2
653819.9
509032.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10164204080120140110103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#3
47.71.3
44.445.7
Auto13.0
Teleop24.8
End9.8
red by 14.8
32.92.5
24.527.0
Auto10.7
Teleop17.5
End4.7
Second
5144
#14
32.31.3
27.929.2
Auto9.9
Teleop16.3
End6.1
red by 0.1
66
#7
32.22.5
28.431.0
Auto11.4
Teleop10.8
End10.0
Third
8179
#23
28.52.2
17.920.1
Auto10.6
Teleop13.5
End4.4
red by 8.6
6538
#27
19.92.5
12.114.6
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsEarned