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Red96
918218.0
817928.5
440539.9
Blue100
526316.7
922623.0
366852.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7180406010012096100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#17
39.90.9
31.432.3
Auto8.7
Teleop21.9
End9.4
blue by 12.9
52.81.7
45.347.0
Auto14.7
Teleop31.5
End6.5
Second
8179
#23
28.50.9
20.121.0
Auto10.6
Teleop13.5
End4.4
red by 5.5
9226
#32
23.02.9
16.619.5
Auto7.2
Teleop10.6
End5.2
Third
9182
#37
18.00.5
16.417.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End5.6
red by 1.3
5263
#40
16.72.9
12.415.2
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed17%Activation oddsEarned