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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7572506080901001105075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.3
27.826.4
Auto10.9
Teleop17.5
End8.4
red by 0.2
36.60.5
34.534.9
Auto10.7
Teleop17.3
End8.7
Second
8423
#33
28.21.3
24.322.9
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.7
red by 8.3
6538
#27
19.90.5
14.615.1
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End3.5
Third
8297
#29
17.51.3
17.916.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End5.9
blue by 1.3
8362
#18
18.80.8
19.119.9
Auto2.7
Teleop11.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned