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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8585607080901001101209899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#17
39.91.7
35.236.9
Auto8.7
Teleop21.9
End9.4
blue by 5.5
45.30.4
39.439.9
Auto14.0
Teleop23.9
End7.2
Second
32.91.2
28.930.1
Auto10.7
Teleop17.5
End4.7
red by 4.7
8423
#33
28.20.3
22.422.7
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.7
Third
8297
#29
17.51.2
16.617.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End5.9
blue by 0.1
8895
#25
17.60.4
17.618.1
Auto6.1
Teleop5.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed