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Red111
851926.0
514432.3
842328.2
Blue131
440539.9
661517.8
366852.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73112204060100120140160180111131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5144
#14
32.32.2
28.430.6
Auto9.9
Teleop16.3
End6.1
blue by 20.5
52.82.1
48.150.2
Auto14.7
Teleop31.5
End6.5
Second
8423
#33
28.22.2
22.724.9
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.7
blue by 11.6
4405
#17
39.92.8
36.939.6
Auto8.7
Teleop21.9
End9.4
Third
8519
#15
26.02.2
22.524.6
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End6.6
red by 8.2
6615
#39
17.82.8
14.817.6
Auto8.3
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned