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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1046540801201401608499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#10
44.60.6
45.344.7
Auto14.4
Teleop24.4
End5.7
red by 18.6
7220
#19
26.01.5
23.324.8
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End6.1
Second
8519
#15
26.00.6
24.624.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End6.6
red by 1.7
6101
#24
24.31.5
22.423.9
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End4.4
Third
9226
#32
23.00.7
22.521.8
Auto7.2
Teleop10.6
End5.2
red by 3.7
240
#22
19.31.2
20.421.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsEarned