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Red126
921113.6
366852.8
509032.9
Blue122
717436.6
505045.3
526316.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9995406080120140160126122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.81.5
50.251.7
Auto14.7
Teleop31.5
End6.5
red by 7.4
45.32.2
40.142.3
Auto14.0
Teleop23.9
End7.2
Second
32.91.5
30.231.8
Auto10.7
Teleop17.5
End4.7
blue by 3.6
36.61.8
34.736.5
Auto10.7
Teleop17.3
End8.7
Third
9211
#36
13.61.9
12.314.2
Auto1.6
Teleop6.8
End5.2
blue by 3.1
5263
#40
16.72.2
15.017.2
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsEarned