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Red85
365644.6
152810.3
366727.9
Blue105
366852.8
829717.5
661826.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8610340608012014016085105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#10
44.60.1
44.744.9
Auto14.4
Teleop24.4
End5.7
blue by 8.2
52.80.7
51.752.4
Auto14.7
Teleop31.5
End6.5
Second
3667
#31
27.90.1
28.028.2
Auto5.5
Teleop17.6
End4.8
red by 1.2
6618
#13
26.70.7
25.826.5
Auto7.0
Teleop13.8
End5.9
Third
1528
#30
10.30.1
10.110.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.3
End5.1
blue by 7.3
8297
#29
17.50.7
16.817.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsEarned