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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80760501001502007391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#17
39.90.5
39.438.9
Auto8.7
Teleop21.9
End9.4
red by 11.4
8179
#23
28.51.0
27.428.4
Auto10.6
Teleop13.5
End4.4
Second
8895
#25
17.60.5
18.117.6
Auto6.1
Teleop5.5
End6.0
blue by 8.4
7220
#19
26.01.0
24.825.8
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End6.1
Third
5263
#40
16.70.5
17.216.7
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End4.9
blue by 4.3
5065
#20
21.00.9
20.021.0
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsEarned