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Red128
842638.4
872826.7
283246.6
Blue82
438422.9
828018.4
24542.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13510205015020025012882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.60.1
48.949.0
Auto12.2
Teleop25.2
End8.9
red by 4.1
245
#17
42.51.2
53.151.9
Auto15.4
Teleop19.3
End6.8
Second
38.40.1
43.443.4
Auto14.0
Teleop16.0
End8.3
red by 15.4
22.91.2
28.827.6
Auto3.3
Teleop12.4
End7.7
Third
8728
#15
26.70.1
29.729.8
Auto8.9
Teleop11.4
End7.2
red by 8.3
8280
#26
18.41.2
18.317.1
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned