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Red112
3350.2
364133.4
77222.6
Blue132
283434.7
283246.6
30242.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11313550100150112132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#10
50.20.1
50.050.2
Auto15.6
Teleop28.8
End5.0
red by 3.6
46.60.5
46.647.1
Auto12.2
Teleop25.2
End8.9
Second
3641
#22
33.40.1
35.335.4
Auto11.2
Teleop15.1
End6.8
blue by 8.7
302
#16
42.10.5
42.242.7
Auto11.7
Teleop23.7
End6.7
Third
772
#30
22.60.1
24.724.8
Auto7.0
Teleop11.5
End4.8
blue by 12.1
34.70.5
36.937.4
Auto13.4
Teleop16.6
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
68%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned