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Red91
30242.1
438422.9
543625.3
Blue81
20121.9
55779.6
571259.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10594204060801201409181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#16
42.11.4
42.741.2
Auto11.7
Teleop23.7
End6.7
blue by 17.4
59.50.6
55.855.2
Auto13.8
Teleop34.5
End10.2
Second
5436
#25
25.31.4
29.327.9
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End5.2
red by 3.4
201
#32
21.90.6
23.823.3
Auto7.8
Teleop10.3
End4.2
Third
22.91.4
25.424.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.4
End7.7
red by 13.3
5577
#23
9.60.6
10.29.6
Auto5.1
Teleop-2.3
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned