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Red105
828018.4
341437.4
5158.8
Blue81
30242.1
332228.3
91030.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13713710012016010581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#5
58.82.0
67.465.5
Auto16.0
Teleop33.1
End8.5
red by 16.7
302
#16
42.13.1
48.645.5
Auto11.7
Teleop23.7
End6.7
Second
3414
#11
37.42.0
44.742.8
Auto13.2
Teleop17.0
End6.7
red by 7.0
910
#29
30.33.1
41.738.6
Auto9.8
Teleop13.6
End6.0
Third
8280
#26
18.42.0
17.115.2
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End7.1
blue by 9.9
3322
#27
28.33.1
37.734.5
Auto11.1
Teleop11.6
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsMissed82%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsMissed