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Red86
715517.0
498340.6
564127.4
Blue109
508433.9
556030.6
6761.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8314305010020025086109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4983
Unranked
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto8.9
Teleop22.0
End10.3
blue by 21.0
67
Unranked
61.60.0
61.661.6
Auto16.1
Teleop35.8
End7.7
Second
5641
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto9.7
Teleop10.4
End7.4
blue by 6.5
5084
Unranked
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto11.6
Teleop16.0
End6.4
Third
7155
Unranked
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End6.0
blue by 13.6
5560
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability odds45%Sustainability odds
Activation
87%Activation odds57%Activation odds