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Red69
22624.4
366840.7
717440.6
Blue80
721148.5
89426.2
663726.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143128501002002506980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#25
40.74.2
54.650.4
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End5.1
blue by 7.8
7211
#22
48.52.8
56.053.2
Auto13.4
Teleop27.8
End6.5
Second
7174
#29
40.64.2
46.942.7
Auto13.7
Teleop19.2
End7.9
red by 14.4
894
#4
26.22.8
32.830.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End3.5
Third
226
#14
24.44.2
30.726.4
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End5.7
blue by 1.6
6637
#21
26.02.8
35.132.3
Auto11.9
Teleop8.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
67%Sustainability oddsMissed48%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsMissed