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Red55
353840.7
89426.2
439827.6
Blue108
473718.7
283439.7
721148.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117117608010014016055108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#20
40.73.5
48.344.8
Auto9.9
Teleop22.4
End8.3
blue by 7.8
7211
#22
48.50.3
49.549.2
Auto13.4
Teleop27.8
End6.5
Second
4398
#27
27.63.5
29.526.0
Auto9.1
Teleop11.8
End7.0
blue by 12.1
39.70.3
35.335.0
Auto14.3
Teleop18.0
End7.6
Third
894
#4
26.23.5
29.626.1
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End3.5
red by 7.5
4737
#26
18.70.3
27.527.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed77%Activation oddsEarned