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Red70
607840.5
922628.5
353638.4
Blue129
283237.0
22624.4
317536.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1339905015020025070129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#18
40.53.4
43.840.4
Auto11.0
Teleop23.0
End5.8
red by 3.5
2832
#13
37.00.7
37.237.9
Auto11.6
Teleop18.0
End7.1
Second
3536
#16
38.43.4
42.839.5
Auto11.5
Teleop20.9
End5.6
red by 1.8
36.70.7
34.134.8
Auto15.8
Teleop13.0
End8.3
Third
9226
#30
28.53.4
34.130.7
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End4.9
red by 4.1
226
#14
24.40.7
25.025.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned