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Red140
721148.5
931247.7
317536.7
Blue120
546061.3
691414.1
509017.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14185050100200140120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#22
48.50.0
49.249.2
Auto13.4
Teleop27.8
End6.5
blue by 12.9
61.30.7
56.957.6
Auto15.1
Teleop35.4
End9.5
Second
47.70.0
43.943.9
Auto11.4
Teleop28.1
End7.9
red by 29.9
5090
#17
17.80.7
17.017.7
Auto7.4
Teleop6.4
End4.4
Third
36.70.0
32.432.4
Auto15.8
Teleop13.0
End8.3
red by 22.6
6914
#31
14.10.7
13.514.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
74%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed