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Red81
663726.0
918218.0
102340.8
Blue123
546061.3
439827.6
353638.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8713605010015020025081123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#12
40.80.4
41.541.1
Auto13.2
Teleop21.5
End7.0
blue by 20.6
61.30.0
57.657.7
Auto15.1
Teleop35.4
End9.5
Second
6637
#21
26.00.4
27.226.8
Auto11.9
Teleop8.6
End5.3
blue by 12.5
3536
#16
38.40.0
38.338.3
Auto11.5
Teleop20.9
End5.6
Third
9182
#32
18.00.4
18.918.4
Auto7.8
Teleop7.2
End3.3
blue by 9.6
4398
#27
27.60.0
26.426.5
Auto9.1
Teleop11.8
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsMissed61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsEarned