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Red50
918218.0
607840.5
309627.4
Blue78
283439.7
365537.0
102340.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106154502002505078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#18
40.53.7
51.247.5
Auto11.0
Teleop23.0
End5.8
blue by 0.2
1023
#12
40.84.0
51.347.4
Auto13.2
Teleop21.5
End7.0
Second
3096
#15
27.43.7
31.027.3
Auto10.2
Teleop14.5
End2.7
blue by 12.3
39.74.0
39.235.3
Auto14.3
Teleop18.0
End7.6
Third
9182
#32
18.03.7
23.219.5
Auto7.8
Teleop7.2
End3.3
blue by 19.0
37.04.0
46.842.9
Auto8.4
Teleop21.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsMissed90%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsEarned