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Red84
353638.4
360427.9
721148.5
Blue90
365537.0
717440.6
828020.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491100502008490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#22
48.53.7
53.249.5
Auto13.4
Teleop27.8
End6.5
red by 7.9
7174
#29
40.61.2
42.741.5
Auto13.7
Teleop19.2
End7.9
Second
3536
#16
38.43.7
46.642.8
Auto11.5
Teleop20.9
End5.6
red by 1.4
37.01.2
42.941.7
Auto8.4
Teleop21.6
End5.9
Third
3604
#28
27.93.7
36.332.5
Auto9.8
Teleop11.8
End6.4
red by 7.6
8280
#11
20.41.2
21.820.7
Auto7.6
Teleop5.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsMissed39%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned