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Red76
22624.4
509017.8
239945.4
Blue106
102340.8
317536.7
309627.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10311905015020076106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#10
45.41.5
49.948.5
Auto14.2
Teleop21.3
End9.5
red by 4.6
1023
#12
40.80.2
47.447.2
Auto13.2
Teleop21.5
End7.0
Second
226
#14
24.41.5
26.425.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End5.7
blue by 12.3
36.70.2
34.334.1
Auto15.8
Teleop13.0
End8.3
Third
5090
#17
17.81.5
22.020.5
Auto7.4
Teleop6.4
End4.4
blue by 9.6
3096
#15
27.40.2
27.327.1
Auto10.2
Teleop14.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed76%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsMissed