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Red154
509017.8
546061.3
931247.7
Blue103
828020.4
360427.9
353638.4
86%Model gave it14%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13584050100150200154103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.30.7
58.859.6
Auto15.1
Teleop35.4
End9.5
red by 22.9
3536
#16
38.40.3
37.938.2
Auto11.5
Teleop20.9
End5.6
Second
47.70.7
45.246.0
Auto11.4
Teleop28.1
End7.9
red by 19.8
3604
#28
27.90.3
27.427.6
Auto9.8
Teleop11.8
End6.4
Third
5090
#17
17.80.7
17.017.8
Auto7.4
Teleop6.4
End4.4
blue by 2.6
8280
#11
20.40.3
20.020.3
Auto7.6
Teleop5.9
End7.4