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Red103
918218.0
89426.2
239945.4
Blue111
22624.4
283439.7
283237.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92102020406080120140160103111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#10
45.40.3
44.745.0
Auto14.2
Teleop21.3
End9.5
red by 5.7
39.70.4
37.337.7
Auto14.3
Teleop18.0
End7.6
Second
894
#4
26.20.3
25.525.8
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End3.5
blue by 10.8
2832
#13
37.00.4
34.735.0
Auto11.6
Teleop18.0
End7.1
Third
9182
#32
18.00.3
17.618.0
Auto7.8
Teleop7.2
End3.3
blue by 6.4
226
#14
24.40.4
22.022.4
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End5.7